Rain Chances Fizzling

I joked in a posting on Thursday about how today was going to easily become the wettest day of the month, considering that we only needed .02″ of rain to make that a reality (Dec. 2, at  .01″, is the date to beat). Now, two days later, I’m not so sure we’ll even get .02″ in the rain bucket. Talk about flip-flopping!

UW’s GFS model, showing light precipitation around Seattle
late Sunday afternoon. This is the wettest it’s going to get!

The reason why is that today’s system, dropping in from the northwest, is really fizzling out. True, it’s been strong enough to nudge that pesky ridge of high pressure to the east of us and bring in some clouds, but moisture-wise, things are really lacking.

The latest models from the University of Washington don’t show more than some sprinkles and light drizzle from tonight through Sunday evening–enough to wet the roads and grass a little bit, but possibly not enough to call today or tomorrow December’s wettest day to date. The .30″ I forecast two day ago? Swap the “0” with the “3” and that’s the amount of rainfall most of us are likely to see through Sunday evening, if that. Dec. 2 just might hold on to its crown a little longer.

Beyond tomorrow, things will clear out again, leading to more fog and cold temperatures Monday and Tuesday (what’s new?). We should get a more respectable rain late Tuesday into Wednesday, and then possibly again on Thursday, with temperatures remaining on the cool side–highs in the low 40s, lows in the mid-30s. In between, sunshine and morning fog are possible. Still, no major storms are on the horizon.

The bland December continues.