Another Dry Easter?

Could we make it three in a row?

Mother Nature has been kind to Seattle the past two Easters, keeping the city dry and pleasant after a dour stretch from 2005-2011 that saw rain dampen the holiday every year. While really warm weather looks to be out of the cards this time around—Seattle soared to 70 degrees on Easter in 2012, and 69 last year—there’s a decent chance we’ll be able to keep the rain at bay on Sunday, potentially giving us three consecutive dry Easters for the first time since the mid-1990s.

Start crossing those fingers and toes, Seattle.

Easter has been bone dry in Seattle the past two years, after a dismal seven-year soggy stretch. If forecasts hold, the city is likely to skate by dry for a third straight year.

In the more immediate future, we’ve got another bout of rain to contend with soon, as a moderate cold front treks ashore early tomorrow morning. While this system doesn’t look nearly as wet as yesterday’s—which set a new daily rainfall record at Sea-Tac Airport with 0.73 inches—it’ll still make for a soggy Saturday, with a quarter-inch falling through early evening. The rain should be at its worst around midday, tapering off later in the afternoon. Temperatures will level off in the mid 50s—similar to today’s expected highs.

With the exception of a Convergence Zone over Snohomish County, showers will mostly come to an end Saturday night, allowing the mercury to dip into the mid 40s. That’s roughly on par with the average mid-April low of 43 degrees.

Easter Sunday dawns under partly sunny skies, with clouds increasing later in the morning as a weak front stumbles onto the coast. The latest weather models from the University of Washington predict that the front will fizzle out as it limps inland, limiting any rain to places west of Olympia. While a stray shower or two can’t be ruled out, it does look like the odds are in our favor for a third straight rain-free Easter—a feat we haven’t pulled off since 1997.

Highs will also rise a tad on Sunday, reaching the lower 60s, although skies will remain mostly cloudy through the afternoon and evening. The dry weather sticks in place through the first part of Monday, before showers make a comeback later in the day.

No worries, though—with another dry Easter looming, our luck can only go so far.


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